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Neural networks ensembles for short-term load forecasting

TitleNeural networks ensembles for short-term load forecasting
Publication TypePresentazione a Congresso
Year of Publication2011
AuthorsDe Felice, Matteo, and Yao X.
Conference NameIEEE SSCI 2011 - Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence - CIASG 2011: 2011 IEEE Symposium on Computational Intelligence Applications in Smart Grid
Conference LocationParis
ISBN Number9781424498949
KeywordsBuilding load, Building occupancy, Electric load forecasting, Electric power, Forecasting, Lower average, Maximum error, Neural networks, Seasonal models, Short term load forecasting, Smart power grids
Abstract

This paper proposes a new approach for short-term load forecasting based on neural networks ensembling methods. A comparison between traditional statistical linear seasonal model and ANN-based models has been performed on the real-world building load data, considering the utilisation of external data such as the day of the week and building occupancy data. The selected models have been compared to the prediction of hourly demand for the electric power up to 24 hours for a testing week. Both neural networks ensembles achieved lower average and maximum errors than other models. Experiments showed how the introduction of external data had helped the forecasting. © 2011 IEEE.

URLhttps://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-80051581220&doi=10.1109%2fCIASG.2011.5953333&partnerID=40&md5=4ad9011c1f5c153908ad62ae499f7312
DOI10.1109/CIASG.2011.5953333
Citation KeyDeFelice201161