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Sea-ice-free Arctic during the Last Interglacial supports fast future loss

TitleSea-ice-free Arctic during the Last Interglacial supports fast future loss
Publication TypeArticolo su Rivista peer-reviewed
Year of Publication2020
AuthorsGuarino, Maria Vittoria, Sime Louise C., Schroeder David, Malmierca-Vallet Irene, Rosenblum Erica, Ringer Mark, Ridley Jeff, Feltham Danny, Bitz Cecilia, Steig Eric J., Wolff Eric, Stroeve Julienne, and Sellar Alistair
JournalNature Climate Change
Volume10
Pagination928 – 932
Type of ArticleArticle
ISSN1758678X
Abstract

The Last Interglacial (LIG), a warmer period 130,000–116,000 years before present, is a potential analogue for future climate change. Stronger LIG summertime insolation at high northern latitudes drove Arctic land summer temperatures 4–5 °C higher than in the pre-industrial era. Climate model simulations have previously failed to capture these elevated temperatures, possibly because they were unable to correctly capture LIG sea-ice changes. Here, we show that the latest version of the fully coupled UK Hadley Center climate model (HadGEM3) simulates a more accurate Arctic LIG climate, including elevated temperatures. Improved model physics, including a sophisticated sea-ice melt-pond scheme, result in a complete simulated loss of Arctic sea ice in summer during the LIG, which has yet to be simulated in past generations of models. This ice-free Arctic yields a compelling solution to the long-standing puzzle of what drove LIG Arctic warmth and supports a fast retreat of future Arctic summer sea ice. © 2020, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.

Notes

Cited by: 87

URLhttps://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85089259951&doi=10.1038%2fs41558-020-0865-2&partnerID=40&md5=072d1e2e994c1f9bf171de6ebfe46b79
DOI10.1038/s41558-020-0865-2
Citation KeyGuarino2020928